Showing posts with label Global Bailout. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Global Bailout. Show all posts

Friday, September 16, 2011

Friday Post #1: Why the bailout?


Yesterday we posted about the 2011 Great Global Bailout wherein the US Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, the Swiss National Bank and the Bank of England have been working in concert in order to make liquidity available to prevent the European banking system from collapsing.

This is similar to what happened in North America in the autumn of 2008.

The blog, The Golden Truth, had a great examination what it all means.

In it's simplest terms European banks have dollar liabilities (shorter term loan funding of various sorts denominated in dollars) that are being used to finance non-dollar income-producing assets (mostly denominated in euros). Greek and Italian sovereign debt securities, for instance.

The assets are falling way short of being able to support the cash flows required to fund the liabilities so the European banking system is at the brink of "freezing up" and collapsing.

This 'liquidity problem' exists despite the fact the US Federal Reserve has had a $500 billion swap "liquidity" facility available for use, a resource that has been in place for awhile.

Even more startling, it turns out that some big U.S. banks have been engaging in private market repo transactions with some big Euro banks, who have been using crappy collateral.  

It shows how desperate European banks have become for cash.

But why are the big U.S. banks willing to take crappy collateral in exchange?

Traditionally repos are done using very short term Treasuries or Agency debt as collateral. Why would U.S. banks be willing to take this crap to keep Euro banks solvent? And why is the US Federal Reserve extending half a trillion of Taxpayer-backed funding to keep the Euro system from collapsing?

Analysts believe it is because if countries like Greece, Italy and Spain collapse, then the too-big-too-fail Euro banks collapse.

And if that happens, North America's  too-big-to-fail banks - primarily Citibank, JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs - would collapse under the weight of a very large amount of credit default derivatives and interest rate swaps that require Euro bank counter parties to be able to fund in the event the default parameters are triggered.

In other words, U.S. banks and the US Federal Reserve are just as desperate to keep the Euro banks alive as are the ECB/SNB/BOE bank members are desperate to stay alive.

This scenario is startlingly similar to what happened right before Lehman was allowed to tank, which triggered the big bailouts here. Only this time the scale is Lehman x 50 or 100 because it includes a couple of countries and all of the U.S./UK/European/Swiss To-Big-To-Fail Banks.

The global financial system is in a highly precarious position right now and it explains why the past week has seen relentless raiding on Gold and Silver by the paper shorts.

The bankers knew that the USA and all major central banks were orchestrating a massive dollar injection into Europe as the European banks were strapped for dollars.

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Email: village_whisperer@live.ca
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Thursday, September 15, 2011

The 2011 Great Global Bailout


The big news today is a massive bailout of the banks of Europe by the US Federal Reserve and the world's reserve currency.

Faithful readers know that we are fond of saying the financial debt crisis of 2008 is very much alive and it is clear for everyone to see that it had only been treated with a paper band-aid known as Quantitative Easing 1 and QE2.

Those economic green shoots touted in 2009? Nothing more than weeds.

The breadth and depth of the financial earthquake the world suffered in 2008 was so great that the repercussion's are only just beginning to be understood.  And the recession it triggered has not ended... it has only just begun.

One of the news stories that flowed well under the mainstream media radar screen back in July was the results of an audit of the US Federal Reserve.

The first ever Government Accountability Office (GAO) audit of the US Federal Reserve Bank in the Fed's 100 year history indicate that the bank dished out $16 trillion in emergency aid to U.S. and foreign banks, corporations and governments in what the Fed calls all-inclusive loans during the financial crisis.

$16 Trillion!

In all the Fed disclosed more than 21,000 transactions which it utilized after Lehman failed to push as much liquidity into the worldwide financial system as possible to stabilize things.

Fast forward to today.

The debt escalating debt contagion stories coming out of Europe the past two weeks have been breath-taking.

It has forced the US Federal Reserve to step in again and bail out Europe's banks with unlimited access to US Dollars.

Here is the European Central Bank announcement:
  • The Governing Council of the European Central Bank (ECB) has decided, in coordination with the Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, the Bank of Japan and the Swiss National Bank, to conduct three US dollar liquidity-providing operations with a maturity of approximately three months covering the end of the year. These operations will be conducted in addition to the ongoing weekly seven-day operations announced on 10 May 2010.
As noted over on The Fundamental View, the global printing presses are now running full tilt in the most historic liquidity event ever.

In essence the Governing Council of the European Central Bank (ECB) has decided, in what is being deemed as a coordinated effort with the US Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, the Bank of Japan and the Swiss National Bank to conduct three US dollar liquidity-providing operations.

Short term this saves the Euro from the collapse it was facing just last week.

But as this story on Yahoo headlines "Dollar access no long-term fix for Europe's crisis but could buy time for banks"

Officially this confirms the view that the banks around the world are pretty much insolvent given their exposure to the mounds of toxic sovereign debt.

Basically governments and banks are broke because they lent money out to other banks and governments.

The ECB said it would hold three separate operations between October and December to help see banks through the year-end period. Basically the Americans, the British and the citizens of any non-Euro nation in the West are now watching their central bank printing dollars at the expense of their children's’ future’s so that it can bail out banks from other parts of the world.

This is what we get in a world of global economic collaboration when every bank is somehow tied to each other through invisible lifelines. Point being, if one major institution goes down, others will fall like dominoes given that they have all lent money to one another via exotic instruments in order to keep the global banking ponzi scheme alive.

The bottom line is that the US Federal Reserve - as it did in 2008 with $16 Trillion, just backstopped a massive loan to European banks to keep them solvent.  

As the Fundamental View asks, "How closely tied are American financial institutions to the European banks needing the bailout for the Fed to take such measures overseas?"

The world's problems are literally being papered over. But the reality is that the situation is much graver than most people realize.

And what just occurred was a very short term, temporary solution.

The breadth and depth of the financial earthquake the world suffered in 2008 is only just beginning to be understood.

And the recession it triggered has not ended... it has only just begun.

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Email: village_whisperer@live.ca
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Please read disclaimer at bottom of blog.