The bailouts continue... you're just not hearing about them

A while back, US Republican candidate Ron Paul commented on the ongoing bailouts of Europe by the US Federal Reserve:

The Fed's latest actions in cooperating with foreign central banks to undertake liquidity swaps of dollars for foreign currencies is another reason why Congress needs enhanced power to oversee and audit the Fed.  Under current law Congress cannot examine these types of agreements.  Those who would argue that auditing the Fed or these agreements with central banks harms the Fed's independence should reevaluate the Fed's supposed independence when the Fed bails out Europe so soon after President Obama promised US assistance in resolving the Euro crisis.

And today the Wall Street Journal reported that former Dallas Fed Vice President, Gerald Driscoll has come right out and accused the Fed of bailing out Europe courtesy of "incomprehensible" currency swaps, and implicitly accusing Bernanke of lying that he would not bail out Europe even as he has done precisely that.

The Federal Reserve's Covert Bailout of Europe 

When is a loan between central banks not a loan? When it is a dollars-for-euros currency swap.

America's central bank, the Federal Reserve, is engaged in a bailout of European banks. Surprisingly, its operation is largely unnoticed here.

The Fed is using what is termed a "temporary U.S. dollar liquidity swap arrangement" with the European Central Bank (ECB). There are similar arrangements with the central banks of Canada, England, Switzerland and Japan. Simply put, the Fed trades or "swaps" dollars for euros. The Fed is compensated by payment of an interest rate (currently 50 basis points, or one-half of 1%) above the overnight index swap rate. The ECB, which guarantees to return the dollars at an exchange rate fixed at the time the original swap is made, then lends the dollars to European banks of its choosing.

Why are the Fed and the ECB doing this? The Fed could, after all, lend directly to U.S. branches of foreign banks. It did a great deal of lending to foreign banks under various special credit facilities in the aftermath of Lehman's collapse in the fall of 2008. Or, the ECB could lend euros to banks and they could purchase dollars in foreign-exchange markets. The world is, after all, awash in dollars.

The two central banks are engaging in this roundabout procedure because each needs a fig leaf. The Fed was embarrassed by the revelations of its prior largess with foreign banks. It does not want the debt of foreign banks on its books. A currency swap with the ECB is not technically a loan.

The ECB is entangled in an even bigger legal and political mess. What the heads of many European governments want is for the ECB to bail them out. The central bank and some European governments say that it cannot constitutionally do that. The ECB would also prefer not to create boatloads of new euros, since it wants to keep its reputation as an inflation-fighter intact. To mitigate its euro lending, it borrows dollars to lend them to its banks. That keeps the supply of new euros down. This lending replaces dollar funding from U.S. banks and money-market institutions that are curtailing their lending to European banks—which need the dollars to finance trade, among other activities. Meanwhile, European governments pressure the banks to purchase still more sovereign debt.

This Byzantine financial arrangement could hardly be better designed to confuse observers, and it has largely succeeded on this side of the Atlantic, where press coverage has been light. Reporting in Europe is on the mark. On Dec. 21 the Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung noted on its website that European banks took three-month credits worth $33 billion, which was financed by a swap between the ECB and the Fed. When it first came out in 2009 that the Greek government was much more heavily indebted than previously known, currency swaps reportedly arranged by Goldman Sachs were one subterfuge employed to hide its debts.

The Fed had more than $600 billion of currency swaps on its books in the fall of 2008. Those draws were largely paid down by January 2010. As recently as a few weeks ago, the amount under the swap renewal agreement announced last summer was $2.4 billion. For the week ending Dec. 14, however, the amount jumped to $54 billion. For the week ending Dec. 21, the total went up by a little more than $8 billion. The aforementioned $33 billion three-month loan was not picked up because it was only booked by the ECB on Dec. 22, falling outside the Fed's reporting week. Notably, the Bank of Japan drew almost $5 billion in the most recent week. Could a bailout of Japanese banks be afoot? (All data come from the Federal Reserve Board H.4.1. release, the New York Fed's Swap Operations report, and the ECB website.)

More and more balls are being thrown in the air.

The question remains... how long can the ponzi juggling act be maintained?

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Wed Post #1: Print, Print, Print.

Two days ago it was Alessio "BBC Trader" Rastani's gloom and doom musings on Europe that garnered all the attention.

Today it is Attila Szalay-Berzeviczy, head of UniCredit global securities (Italy’s biggest lender) and former Chairman of the Hungarian stock exchange (pictured above).

Bloomberg is reporting that Szalay-Berzeviczy has written an OpEd piece in which he claims that the euro is “practically dead” and Europe faces a financial earthquake from a Greek default.

Sounds familiar, doesn't it?

• “The only remaining question is how many days the hopeless rearguard action of European governments and the European Central Bank can keep up Greece's spirits. A Greek default will trigger an immediate magnitude 10 earthquake across Europe. Holders of Greek government bonds will have to write off their entire investment, the southern European nation will stop paying salaries and pensions and automated teller machines in the country will empty within minutes. The impact of a Greek default will rapidly spread across the continent, possibly prompting a run on the weaker banks of weaker countries. The panic escalating this way may sweep across Europe in a self-fulfilling fashion, leading to the breakup of the euro area.”

Of course this is just "one scenario among many". Szalay-Berzeviczy offers this ray of hope:

• “It’s one scenario among many, one which may lead to the breakup of the euro area via a banking crisis. This can still be averted. It primarily depends on the Germans, and secondly on European citizens, especially on how much the Greek population can tolerate.”

All Europe has to do is print, print, print.

Pity they can't print more Gold and Silver too.

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The 2011 Great Global Bailout

The big news today is a massive bailout of the banks of Europe by the US Federal Reserve and the world's reserve currency.

Faithful readers know that we are fond of saying the financial debt crisis of 2008 is very much alive and it is clear for everyone to see that it had only been treated with a paper band-aid known as Quantitative Easing 1 and QE2.

Those economic green shoots touted in 2009? Nothing more than weeds.

The breadth and depth of the financial earthquake the world suffered in 2008 was so great that the repercussion's are only just beginning to be understood.  And the recession it triggered has not ended... it has only just begun.

One of the news stories that flowed well under the mainstream media radar screen back in July was the results of an audit of the US Federal Reserve.

The first ever Government Accountability Office (GAO) audit of the US Federal Reserve Bank in the Fed's 100 year history indicate that the bank dished out $16 trillion in emergency aid to U.S. and foreign banks, corporations and governments in what the Fed calls all-inclusive loans during the financial crisis.

$16 Trillion!

In all the Fed disclosed more than 21,000 transactions which it utilized after Lehman failed to push as much liquidity into the worldwide financial system as possible to stabilize things.

Fast forward to today.

The debt escalating debt contagion stories coming out of Europe the past two weeks have been breath-taking.

It has forced the US Federal Reserve to step in again and bail out Europe's banks with unlimited access to US Dollars.

Here is the European Central Bank announcement:

• The Governing Council of the European Central Bank (ECB) has decided, in coordination with the Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, the Bank of Japan and the Swiss National Bank, to conduct three US dollar liquidity-providing operations with a maturity of approximately three months covering the end of the year. These operations will be conducted in addition to the ongoing weekly seven-day operations announced on 10 May 2010.

As noted over on The Fundamental View, the global printing presses are now running full tilt in the most historic liquidity event ever.

In essence the Governing Council of the European Central Bank (ECB) has decided, in what is being deemed as a coordinated effort with the US Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, the Bank of Japan and the Swiss National Bank to conduct three US dollar liquidity-providing operations.

Short term this saves the Euro from the collapse it was facing just last week.

But as this story on Yahoo headlines "Dollar access no long-term fix for Europe's crisis but could buy time for banks"

Officially this confirms the view that the banks around the world are pretty much insolvent given their exposure to the mounds of toxic sovereign debt.

Basically governments and banks are broke because they lent money out to other banks and governments.

The ECB said it would hold three separate operations between October and December to help see banks through the year-end period. Basically the Americans, the British and the citizens of any non-Euro nation in the West are now watching their central bank printing dollars at the expense of their children's’ future’s so that it can bail out banks from other parts of the world.

This is what we get in a world of global economic collaboration when every bank is somehow tied to each other through invisible lifelines. Point being, if one major institution goes down, others will fall like dominoes given that they have all lent money to one another via exotic instruments in order to keep the global banking ponzi scheme alive.

The bottom line is that the US Federal Reserve - as it did in 2008 with $16 Trillion, just backstopped a massive loan to European banks to keep them solvent.  

As the Fundamental View asks, "How closely tied are American financial institutions to the European banks needing the bailout for the Fed to take such measures overseas?"

The world's problems are literally being papered over. But the reality is that the situation is much graver than most people realize.

And what just occurred was a very short term, temporary solution.

The breadth and depth of the financial earthquake the world suffered in 2008 is only just beginning to be understood.

And the recession it triggered has not ended... it has only just begun.

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