"A little is alright"
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"A little is alright"
Quick post for today.
As faithful readers know, this blog has often posted that inflation is not only coming at us hard, but is in fact already here.
Numerous times we have talked about how the methods used to calculate inflation were changed in 2000. If you calculate inflation the way it was calculated in 1999 and before, the inflation rate is well into early 1970s levels.
And today, CNBC has come out with a story saying just that.
In case it gets yanked, here is the full story:
Email: village_whisperer@live.ca
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Email: village_whisperer@live.ca
Click 'comments' below to contribute to this post.
It is said that history doesn't repeat itself, but often follows similar patterns.
And if you have followed this blog for any length of time you know my thoughts about inflation are that we are following patterns similar to what we experienced in the 1970s.
Since Quantative Easing began in 2009, I have cautioned that the biggest looming threat is not deflation, but the inevitable inflation that all this liquidity is going to trigger combined with a stagnating economy.
Inflation is already with us.
It has been taking root around the world for the past 6 months, machinations of a deliberate monetary policy to debase the world’s reserve currency.
All that debasement has had one objective... the creation of a little inflation to get America and the west out of the deflationary spiral caused by the failure of those horrid financial instruments known as OTC Derivatives and un-payable government debt.
Around the world, inflation has erupted in global food prices. Most of the world has no savings to get through difficult times and “hedge” inflationary outcomes.
Those outcomes appear quickly and change realities violently. American monetary policy and the global “race to debase” is the reason you are seeing raging crowds on TV from Ireland to Greece and Egypt.
Looking at China and India alone, despite the fact that the yuan and rupee rose 2.4% and 1.3% respectively against the dollar through November of last year, inflation rates in both countries dwarfed the relatively tame readings we are reporting in North America; Chinese consumer prices up 4.4% and India's up 8.6%.
Frequently you hear people say "if inflation is such a problem, why isn't it registering in the consumer price index?"
The answer to this supposed riddle of non-existent inflation: inflation is all in how you measure it.
In North America food, along with energy have been stripped out of our CPI, and the result is a more tame inflation reading.
But those price pressures still exist notwithstanding.
30 years ago when Ronald Reagan entered the White House, it was precisely the spike in food and energy - ignored today - that had Reagan and others so concerned about inflation.
Times change, and governments become slick and manipulative, and now those price pressures have supposedly 'disappeared'.
Calculate inflation today the way it was calculated in the 1970s, 1980s and 1990s and the federal government's measure of inflation would be substantially higher than what we are currently being told.
Once you understand that... then the latest statements from the Governor of the Bank of England that standards of living are about to plunge are not all that surprising.
Mervyn King, Britain’s counterpart to the Bank of Canada's Mark Carney, has delivered a stern, sobering message to his country:
The Governor of the Central Bank of England has looked his country in the eye and admitted that he is completely powerless to prevent the inevitable decline in living standards that inflation and a stagnating economy are about to ravage upon us.
Meanwhile in Canada, our Central Banker has been sounding alarm bells since last February about high debt and the impact of significant looming interest rate hikes combined with an economy that will not grow fast enough to offset them.
Both Governors can see what's coming.
And as the blog has repeatedly posted, it's all about inflation, a stagnating economy and the looming spectre of rising interest rates.
Meanwhile Reuters reports that more manufacturer's are warning of rising input costs.
Emerson CEO David Farr said inflation ran well ahead of the company's own projections, and the company was spending three times as much on materials as on labor.
"We'll have to significantly increase prices around the world because this is not a momentary blip," Farr told analysts on the company's conference call.
"In my opinion, I think net material inflation could run at higher levels for the next two or three years. That's a plus and a minus in many regards but in reality this is an issue we'll have to deal with. It's not going away."
Earlier this week, Illinois Tool Works, which makes a variety of products for the automotive, residential construction, and industrial marketplace, warned it might not be able to fully recoup all the raw material price increases it is seeing - even though it expects to raise prices this year.
Officially it's known as cost-push inflation. Wages don't rise, jobs don't increase and the economy founders, but manufacturing costs rise anyways pushing up prices.
QE1 and QE2 are the causes. And now there's talk of QE3.
Inflation has only just started.
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A couple of points for a post that is being written late on Hallow's Eve.
This week the US Federal Reserve is going to announce QE2.
Personally I suspect that it will be lower than what the market is expecting. The announcement of the amount, that is.
The real amount will far exceed expectations.
Bernanke is an intellectual, and a predictable one at that. He has neither said anything up to now nor will he dare process a thought that deviates from his doctoral thesis.
I personally expect that the announcement will be for moderate QE and over the weeks and months ahead additional QE will be implemented a little at a time.
And as I have said before, get ready for inflation.
The announced (and stealth) monetization that is coming is going to accelerate the inflation that already exists.
The Federal Reserve has already stated the objective is increased inflation. A recent Fed Report, released in September, even argues that such unacknowledged CPT shocks (like the surges in the price of oil we will likely experience courtesy of a fresh trillion in liquidity) are beneficial to GDP and stimulative to the interest-rate sensitive parts of the economy. "In fact, if the increase in oil prices is gradual, the persistent rise in inflation can cause a GDP expansion."
But this surge is not something we have to wait for. As I have said, inflation is already here.
The two key commodities that have been rising lately are oil and grains, specifically wheat, corn and livestock feed (see the BLS report on Producer Price Index of commodities).
Grains as a class have risen over 33% year-over-year. Refined oil products have risen just shy of 13%, and home heating oil 18% year-over-year.
That means food, gasoline and heating oil have risen by double digits since 2009.
Looming issues with the foreclosure crisis, the looming pension crisis', the looming individual US state budget crisis', all portent a massive amount of QE coming down the pike regardless of the amount announced by Bernanke this coming week.
Count on it.
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Follow that up by checking out this interview with Chris Whalen on the Foreclosure Crisis, mortgage backed securities and the slow moving time bomb represented by the whole mess...
Then there is this from Nouriel Roubini on CNBC.
Roubini says U.S. states are in for it.
Municipal debt is up to 20% of GDP, he said. And unfunded liabilities of state and local pension funds? Those are as high as $3 trillion — another 20% of GDP. So, basically, get ready — especially in Quarter 1 when states can no longer use federal money to plug their budget holes.
“The issue is whether the Federal government will bail out state and local governments with a federal guarantee of their debt,” Roubini said, likening the scenario to the money received by Greece and to be generalized to other Eurozone members in trouble via the new European "stabilization fund."
Some might call it the trillion dollar question: what will the government do if the states fail?
The possibility of states failing, is no longer a scary hypothetical. Roubini said that many US states are semi-insolvent. According to a report by the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, forty-eight states addressed shortfalls in their fiscal year 2010 budgets, totaling $191 billion or 29% of state budgets — the largest gaps on record.
QE 2 is not the question. The real question is, how large will QE 3 and 4 be.
Finally, via John Maullin, comes this excerpt from Michael Hudson's new book "How a Gang of Predatory Lenders and Wall Street Bankers Fleeced America - and Spawned a Global Crisis". The introduction gives an excellent peak into the beginnings of the Foreclose Mess.
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On the right side of this blog some of you will have noticed that under the spot price of Gold and Silver, there is a chart called the US Dollar Index.
This index measures the strength of the US Dollar. A few weeks ago it was up over 80. This week it slid below 77 - which is big news.
It's indicative of a weakening US Dollar.
Perhaps at work you know some co-workers who this week are all giddy that the Canadian Dollar and the US Dollar moved to parity. Some, no doubt, rushed out to exchange loonies for greenbacks for upcoming trips to Vegas or other locals south of the border.
It's not so much a testament to the strength of the loonie, but it owes more to the weakening of the US Dollar.
Such developments are a big concern to OPEC. The oil producing Arab nations trade oil in US Dollars. And a weakening US Dollar means they are getting less for the same amount of product.
"The U.S. currency’s weakness means the 'real price' of oil is about $20 less than current levels," said Venezuelan Energy and Oil Minister Rafael Ramirez after yesterday’s meeting of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries in Vienna.
Their response?
The OPEC nations want to push the price of oil from the current $80 to $100 to offset the declining value of the dollar.
And since the Canadian Dollar is at par with the American Dollar, it means you and I will also feel this 20% increase in the cost of everything oil related - which is just about every aspect of our lives.
This is another example of currency induced cost push inflation at work.
'Real' inflation last month raged at 8.5%. Look for it to accelerate in the coming months.
Vancouver Real Estate
As we noted earlier this week, the slow melt is meeting the winter freeze and the chilling sales climate will clash with stubborn sellers in a stalemate which will probably last until spring.
Come springtime many observers believe you will start to see sellers move on their prices and the decline will finally start.
And a primary impetus that will push the stubborn sellers to move on their asking price will be Realtors.
This month BCREA's pumper-in-chief, Cameron Muir, has made much of the declining numbers of listings on the market. He pumps this as a move to a 'more balanced market'.
Through the late summer and early fall, many owners have tested the market waters. They put properties on the market, only to remove them when buyer interest proved to be reduced. Many of these owners plan to put those same properties back on the market and many will likely do so in spring of 2011
As our friends over at VREAA have noted these sellers will be re-entering a market in which local Realtors has seen sales (and by 'sales' we actually mean to say 'commissions') have been at 10 - 15 year lows.
There are a great many Realtors feeling an income pinch right now, a situation which will be greatly exacerbated come Spring 2011.
As VREAA notes,
Look for this pressure to be severely ramped up when many of these sellers return to the market in Spring 2011.
Many observers anticipate ongoing minor price drops through October, November and December. Then, in the first half of 2011, you will probably start to see significant changes.
Speculators, boomers, foreign holders, overextended locals and developers will all come to the market and be met by hungry Realtors desperate for income after 8-10 months of the worst sales in over a decade.
Eager to close deals at almost any price, significant pressure will be exerted to speed the price decline.
It could be an intense spring.
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Faithful readers know that in the inflation/deflation debate I side solidly on the side of looming inflation.
We may go through a period of deflation first... but inflation is coming: guaranteed.
That's why I note today's decision by the Bank of England to keep interest rates at historic lows.
Bank of England Governor Mervyn King has announced he is setting aside his inflation target to protect the economy from the biggest budget cuts since World War II.
And this action is taken as a split widens on the nine-member British Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) on the danger posed by rising prices. Resisting calls to increase interest rates, King insists it may be a “considerable” time before the benchmark interest rate of 0.5 percent returns to “normal.”
Prices continue to rise in England and King is tolerating faster inflation as Prime Minister David Cameron’s push to slash the Group of 20’s largest budget deficit threatens to hurt the economic recovery. Policy maker Andrew Sentance, for now the only advocate of higher rates, counters that growth is solid enough for the bank to withdraw emergency stimulus.
Inflation has exceeded the bank’s 2% target since December.
“King is willing to take risks with inflation,” said Steven Bell, chief economist at London-based hedge fund GLC Ltd. and a former U.K. Treasury official.
The combination of persistent inflation and budget cuts has widened the debate about when to raise rates in England.
Sentance voted for higher rates at the last two meetings of the MPC. And while there are calls for the central bank to be “incredibly vigilant” on prices, inflation was allowed to rise to 3.2% in June and has exceeded the government’s 3% limit since March.
King said last week the rate is likely to stay above the bank’s target “for much of next year”. King “sees no need to try and offset what is likely to be rather a temporary continuing overshoot,” said former Bank of England policy maker Charles Goodhart.
Fears of continued recession have economists and central bankers eager to ignite inflation and King's actions are sure to be echoed in North America.
Goodhart says officials may find it hard to justify their actions after a “pretty poor” forecasting record in the past two years.
With the inflation overshoot set to persist. Goodhart make an interesting observation.
“In a sense we’re in the worst possible situation, with inflation above target and output growth well under target.”
Meanwhile, on the real estate front in Vancouver
Check out this Global TV clip on the declining real estate sales environment.
How desperate is the climate getting in the industry?
At the end of the clip we have our favorite downtown huckster, Ian Watt, actively encouraging buyers to start pitching low ball offers to undercut asking prices.
Will wonders ever cease?
(hat tip to Observer in yesterday's comments)
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Local blogs continue to ruminate on the pending release this week of the R/E sales statistics for the month of July.
(And for those who are interested in such numbers there is a breakdown at the bottom of this post of the Unit sales per municipality and the percentage drop experienced from July 2009 vs July 2010)
But there was something mentioned on Sunday morning political TV that will ultimately impact Vancouver Real Estate far more profoundly than the start of this current downward trend.
For those of you who believe interest rates will never rise again because the government will not allow it - heed these words of former US Federal Reserve chairman Alan Greenspan;
"There is no doubt that the federal funds rate can be fixed at what the Fed wants it to be but what the government has no control over is long-term interest rates and long-term interest rates are what make the economy move. And if this budget problem eventually merges to the point where it begins to become very toxic, it will be reflected in rising long-term interest rates, rising mortgage rates, lower housing. At the moment there is no sign of that because the financial system is broke and you can not have inflation if the financial system is not working."
In other words, we will be in deflation until the broken financial system is unbroken. And when it does start to repair - look out - because we will then have severe inflation.
And THAT will make this months declining sales numbers look like a selling bonanza.
You can see the Greenspan clip here.
For those are interested, statistics by area from the same source as yesterday:
Real Estate Unit sales comparing July 2009 to 2010
Burnaby East: -64% (57 to 20)
Burnaby North: -47% (215 to 112)
Burnaby South: -52% (257 to 123)
Coquitlam: -45% (304 to 166)
Islands-Van. & Gulf: -75% (12 to 3)
Ladner: -77% (79 - 18)
Maple Ridge: -36% (215 to 136)
New Westminster: -52% (170 to 80)
North Vancouver: -42% (273 to 158)
Pitt Meadows: -46% (41 to 22)
Port Coquitlam: -50% (152 to 75)
Port Moody: -47% (119 to 62)
Richmond: -53% (632 to 292)
Squamish: -3% (31 to 30)
Tsawwassen: -56% (55 to 24)
Vancouver East: -42% (461 to 267)
Vancouver West: -37% (880 to 553)
West Vancouver: -20% (97 to 77)
Whistler: -45% (35 to 19)
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Hi Gang.
Sorry for the lack of posts recently. Tax week combined with other matters have kept me busy.
Sovereign debt remains front and center on the world stage and the concern is gaining momentum.
As I have stated over and over again, we still do not fully understand the depth and breadth of the financial earthquake that rocked our financial system in 2008.
Even now, a year and a half later, we still do not realize it's significance.
It has been downplayed so much that the average person is completely oblivious in Canada to what is going on.
I note with keen interest that there were another 7 bank failure in the US on the most recent 'Bank Failure Friday'. And despite the almost complete lack of press coverage, last week's losses were extremely serious. They were the largest in any single week since the failure of IndyMac Bank on July 11, 2008.
IndyMac had assets of about $32 billion and deposits of $19 billion. Its failure cost the FDIC an estimated $8 billion.
The seven banks that failed this week had combined assets of about $25.8 billion and deposits of $19.6 billion. These failures cost the FDIC an estimated $7.33 billion.
Prior to this week, the FDIC’s estimated losses from 57 bank failures in 2010 stood at about $8.6 billion. This week’s failures practically doubled that figure, to $15.93 billion.
According to an AP article posted Friday, the FDIC’s deposit insurance fund “fell into the red last year, hitting a $20.9 billion deficit as of [Dec. 31, 2009].” With this year’s losses, the fund’s deficit has grown to at least $36.8 billion. In addition, the FDIC has a huge exposure for worse-than-expected losses on some $165 billion of assets taken over by acquiring banks.
That pretty much wipes out the $45 billion the FDIC announced it was going to raise by requiring banks to pre-pay premiums for the period, 2010 through 2012. Obligations of the FDIC will soon become obligations of the U.S. taxpayer, adding billions of dollars each year to already out-of-control federal deficits.
Speaking of out of control sovereign debt, I notice that Warren Buffett has finally broken his 'everything will be alright' facade and is now acknowledging what is coming.
From the article: "The financial crisis was stemmed by massive monetary and fiscal intervention in developed economies like the U.S. and the U.K. That's shifted a private-sector debt mountain on to governments, increasing concern about sovereign risks. One concern is that governments will print lots of new money to pay debts, undermining the value of currencies and triggering a damaging bout of inflation. 'Events in the world over the last few years make me more bearish on all currencies in terms of holding their value over time,' Buffett said."
Interest rates and inflation: the watch words of the next 10 - 15 years.
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On a day when the Bank of Canada makes news for what it doesn't say, and Macleans magazine states the obvious, the item that catches my eye is a poll by the Investors Group which concludes that Canadians "may be overly confident that they can take higher borrowing costs in stride."
You got that one right!
Discussing Canadians' apparent confidence to deal with rising mortgage rates, Peter Veselinovich (the Investors Group's vice-president of banking and mortgage operations) said: "Part of that may be because they are fully knowledgeable about what's going on because they have a financial plan, they've had discussions, they've looked at what their risk tolerance is and what their affordability tolerances are. Or part of it may be some blissful lack of knowledge."
The reason for the overconfidence/blissful ignorance?
No one believes rates will rise more that about 3%.
This also comes on the day we learn that, in the UK, inflation rose at a higher rate than expected. It's up sharply to 3.4% in March from 3% the month before.
Watch for a similar scenario to start becoming evident in North America as well. As we pointed out last week, reports are surfacing that significant inflation is working it's way through the inventory replacement process.
After summarizing his experiences, one volume importer of industrial hardware (mostly out of Asia), who just received his April ocean freight rate update, concluded that "anyone who tells me that there is no inflation on the horizon is delusional and in for one hell of a shock.”
That's going to be pretty much every person with a mortgage in this country.
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Last week I started to talk about how I believe the stage is being set for a Canadian real estate collapse of historic and massive proportions.
Since the collapse of the dot-com bubble in the late 1990s, western governments have manipulated economic conditions so that we moved quickly from the unwinding of one bubble and into another.
Within a year of the collapse of the Internet Bubble, we moved seamlessly into the Real Estate Bubble. And within a year of the collapse of the Real Estate Bubble we have moved into another bubble… and it’s as if nobody can see that there are any similarities.
The only reason it worked in 2000 (and it didn’t really work then), is because we were able to borrow the money from the rest of the world and spend it. And we were able to live in the delusion that we were getting richer even when we were getting poorer.
We believed this because we looked at our asset prices (real estate and stocks) and we saw the prices going up and we said “hey, were actually getting wealthier”.
But we weren’t getting richer because we were spending money at the same time instead of saving money. We would borrow on the asset value and spend it consuming. And as we spent money, the government counted that money as GDP.
And as long as our GDP was rising then we thought our economy was growing.
But the whole time our GDP was going up, we weren’t measuring how much our wealth was going up. We thought we were okay because some appraiser said that our house was worth more. Or the stock market was still going up.
The 2008 Financial Crisis was simply the inevitable collapse of this ponzi mindset.
But when that collapse happened, it was SO intense…. SO profound... that our political masters panicked.
What happened in September and October 2008 had previously been considered completely impossible and totally unthinkable. We have always been told that the lessons of 1929 and the Great Depression had resulted in changes to the financial system so that NEVER AGAIN could the financial system come close to totally collapsing.
Yet we were within two hours of a complete collapse of our banking system and of our economy... and governments responded with panic measures.
They responded the same way they did each time there was a ‘financial emergency’ over the past several decades... with stimulus money and bailouts. Only this time they did it on a scale that has never been seen in the history of the world.
We had the internet bubble because the US Federal Reserve was too easy with money.
Easy money allowed people to invest in companies that were tremendously overvalued. None of the dot.com stocks were paying dividends because none of the companies had a realistic chance of making money. But it didn’t matter. The frenzy was pushing stock prices up so people grabbed all the money they could and kept investing in them.
Recognizing what was going on, Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan sought to intervene. In 1996 he talked about irrational exuberance and they took him to the woodshed for saying something negative. But he still went ahead and raised interest rates to correct the imbalance.
And the bubble burst.
Of course, when the stock market crashed, a lot of the malinvestments were exposed. A lot of the people working at the dot.com’s were going to have to be unemployed. A lot of companies who were given a lot of capital who shouldn’t have been given capital, were going to lose it all. And a lot of investors who invested foolishly who were going to lose a lot of money.
We were destined for a long, painful recession. Those malinvestments were going to have to be worked off. Capital would have to be reallocated to where it could be productively used, and labour would have to be laid off and rehired as that capital found productive uses.
As painful as it might be, it would be a necessary recesiion; the free market's way of correcting the imbalances.
But government intervened in the free market.
Rather than permit the painful process to play out, government would ‘stimulate’ the economy... again.
As always, the stimulus money created a catastrophe. This time in real estate.
During the dot-com, if you questioned the wisdom of what was happening, the reply was always, ‘you don’t understand the stock market’. Now, when anyone questioned the wisdom of what was happening in real estate, the reply was, ‘you don’t understand the real estate market’.
People were told rents don’t matter to real estate in the same way they said dividends don’t matter to stocks. What evolved was a rationalization that said all real estate would appreciate, year after year, for no other reason than a belief that real estate appreciates.
Everyone bought into the idea that it was going to go up... year after year... just because.
And it made no sense. Were incomes going up each year? Would you be able to charge 10, 20, 30 percent higher rents each year? No? Then why is the value going to go up 10, 20, 30 percent?
And the answer was... ‘it just will’.
And for the last nine years it has, fueled by easy money which is being invested in something that does not make fiscal sense – other than the value of the ‘asset’ seems to be rising by 10 – 30% each year.
The real estate bubble, and the financial services industry it created, has grown stupendously out of proportion.
The 2008 Financial Crisis is a result of the stimulus that created the dot-com bubble, the stimulus that tried to prevent the correcting of the dot-com bubble and the real estate bubble it all created.
A long, painful recession is needed to correct the imbalances.
But by responding in the same egregious manner to the 2008 Financial crisis, another catastrophe is inevitable.
Not only have we failed to correct the imbalances, western governments have liquefyed the system beyond any rational explanation in response to fears the entire system could collapse.
In the United States, the U.S. money supply has been expanding at an absolutely unprecedented rate (more than doubling the monetary base since the collapse of Lehman Brothers).
Fears of inflation – even hyperinflation – have been propagated throughout the blogosphere.
So why are we not experiencing rampant inflation?
Why is the U.S. dollar not falling through the floor?
Well, the truth is that all of this new money has gotten into the U.S. financial system but it is not getting into the hands of U.S. businesses and consumers. In fact, even though the money supply is exploding, U.S. banks have dramatically decreased lending. This has brought us to a very bizarre financial situation.
What we have seen is the U.S. government shovel massive amounts of cash into the U.S. financial system and then watch as the big banks sit on that cash and refuse to lend it. The biggest banks in the U.S. reduced their collective small business lending balance by another 1 billion dollars in November 2009.
That drop was the seventh monthly decline in a row. In fact, in 2009 as a whole U.S. banks posted their sharpest decline in lending since 1942.
So all of this money that the U.S. government pumped into the financial system has been doing American businesses and consumers very little good. That is why we can have a vastly increased money supply and very little inflation.
So if the banks are not lending the money to the American people, what are they doing with it?
One of the things they are doing with it is buying U.S. government debt. While U.S. banks have cut business lending by approximately 350 billion dollars since early 2009, they have meanwhile been purchasing approximately 300 billion dollars worth of U.S. Treasury securities.
So instead of loaning money to American businesses and consumers who desperately need it, a ton of this new money is being used to pump up yet another bubble. This time the bubble is in U.S. Treasuries. Asia Times recently described how this trillion-dollar carry trade in U.S. government securities works...
Anyone who has dealt with carry trades in the past knows that when carry trades unwind they can do so very, very quickly and the results can be nightmarish.
And this one will unwind too, causing the bubble it is supporting (US Treasuries) to collapse.
You’ve heard it said that doctors 'practice' medicine and lawyers 'practice' law?
They say this for a reason. These 'professionals' never really know their craft. They learn about past mistakes and try to utilize tried techniques to address problems. When something goes wrong, they learn from it and ‘tweak’ their responses.
It is no different for economists, even those entrusted with running the Bank of Canada and the US Federal Reserve (recall Saturday’s post of a paper by Alan Greenspan admitting how the Federal Reserve had failed).
The ‘experts’ panicked when the crisis of 2008 hit.
And they responded with tried techniques (plus a few new tricks) to address the problem.
The truth is that the U.S. financial system is a house of cards that could fall at any time. A lot of economic pain is on the horizon - it is only a matter of when it comes and how bad it is going to get.
And when it does come, interest rates are going to shoot up like nothing we have seen in over 30 years.
Tomorrow, the reckoning that Canada faces.
To read the next part of our series, click here.
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History of Central Banks and why we must End the Federal Reserve
- Ralph Nader on CNN
The author(s) of the posts on this site are not investment advisors and they do not offer investment advice. They try to provide some hopefully useful data with sources - especially concerning real estate - and then add their own analysis.
All the content on this website is solely an expression of the author's personal interests and is posted as free-of-charge opinion and commentary. Nothing here is intended as investment advice. If you seek investment advice, consult a registered, qualified investment advisor.